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Combat Edge Intelligence

Curtis Blaydes vs Josh Barnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Barnett
us

Josh Barnett

“The Warmaster”

35-8-0HeavyweightUFC

1778Great

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record35-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
80"Reach78,0"
256 lbsWeight248 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamUWF USA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Curtis BlaydesNow 1781
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
Josh BarnettNow 1778
If they win+12→ 1790
If they lose-12→ 1766

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.20
52%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.11
54%
Strike defense
57%
5.12
Takedown avg.
1.26
24%
Takedown accuracy
55%
35%
Takedown defense
56%
0
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Curtis BlaydesJosh Barnett
175018002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
10 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
19 (56%)
7 (35%)
Decision
5 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Curtis Blaydes69%
Josh Barnett 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 69% favorite over Josh Barnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1778), separated by just 3 points.

Curtis Blaydes finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Josh Barnett 85%.

Curtis Blaydes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.