Curtis Blaydes vs Junior dos Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record23-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach77"
256 lbsWeight250 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamChampion Team
What's at stake
Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Junior dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1788
If they lose-17→ 1764
If they win+17→ 1660
If they lose-7→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Curtis BlaydesJunior dos Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes81%
Junior dos Santos 19%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 81% favorite over Junior dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1643, a 138-point edge.
Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Curtis Blaydes finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Junior dos Santos 74%.
Curtis Blaydes and Junior dos Santos share 1 common opponent: Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
Curtis Blaydes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.