Combat Edge Intelligence

Curtis Blaydes vs Mark Hunt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Hunt
nz

Mark Hunt

“The Super Samoan”

13-14-1HeavyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
80"Reach72"
256 lbsWeight265 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Mark Hunt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Curtis BlaydesNow 1768
If they win+7→ 1775
If they lose-17→ 1751
Mark HuntNow 1625
If they win+17→ 1642
If they lose-7→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
51%
Strike accuracy
43%
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
59%
Strike defense
51%
5.38
Takedown avg.
0.51
49%
Takedown accuracy
56%
32%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Curtis BlaydesMark Hunt
16501700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (68%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (32%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Curtis Blaydes88%
Mark Hunt 12%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 88% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1625, a 143-point edge.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Curtis Blaydes finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.

Curtis Blaydes and Mark Hunt share 1 common opponent: Derrick Lewis.

Curtis Blaydes carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO · 2021
Derrick Lewis
WinKO/TKO · 2017