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Combat Edge Intelligence

Curtis Blaydes vs Mark Hunt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Hunt
nz

Mark Hunt

“The Super Samoan”

13-14-1HeavyweightUFC

1642Solid

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
80"Reach72"
256 lbsWeight265 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Mark Hunt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Curtis BlaydesNow 1781
If they win+7→ 1788
If they lose-17→ 1764
Mark HuntNow 1642
If they win+17→ 1659
If they lose-7→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
52%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
54%
Strike defense
51%
5.12
Takedown avg.
0.51
24%
Takedown accuracy
56%
35%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Curtis BlaydesMark Hunt
16501700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (35%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Curtis Blaydes87%
Mark Hunt 13%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 87% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1642, a 139-point edge.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Curtis Blaydes finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.

Curtis Blaydes carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.