Curtis Blaydes vs Shamil Abdurakhimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
80"Reach76"
256 lbsWeight263 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamPeresvet FT
What's at stake
Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Shamil Abdurakhimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1776
If they lose-16→ 1752
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-8→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Curtis BlaydesShamil Abdurakhimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes84%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 16%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 84% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1650, a 118-point edge.
Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Curtis Blaydes finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.
Curtis Blaydes and Shamil Abdurakhimov share 4 common opponents: Jailton Almeida, Sergei Pavlovich, Chris Daukaus and Derrick Lewis.
Curtis Blaydes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.