Curtis Blaydes vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record15-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
80"Reach77"
256 lbsWeight205 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1780
If they lose-12→ 1756
If they win+16→ 1783
If they lose-16→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Curtis BlaydesVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino77%
Curtis Blaydes 23%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 77% favorite over Curtis Blaydes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Curtis Blaydes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1768 vs 1767), separated by just 1 points.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Curtis Blaydes finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 67%.
Curtis Blaydes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.