Curtis Millender vs Elizeu Zaleski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-13-0Record25-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
78"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
CSWTeamCM System
What's at stake
Elizeu Zaleski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Curtis Millender carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1611
If they lose-9→ 1587
If they win+9→ 1708
If they lose-15→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Curtis MillenderElizeu Zaleski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elizeu Zaleski72%
Curtis Millender 28%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Elizeu Zaleski a 72% favorite over Curtis Millender in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Elizeu Zaleski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1596, a 103-point edge.
Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Curtis Millender finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Elizeu Zaleski 72%.
Curtis Millender carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.