Combat Edge Intelligence

Curtis Millender vs Ioan Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-13-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
CSWTeamTwo4 Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Curtis MillenderNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Ioan HarrisNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0.43
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Curtis MillenderIoan Harris
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (71%)
15 (68%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ioan Harris62%
Curtis Millender 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ioan Harris a 62% favorite over Curtis Millender in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Curtis Millender's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.

Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ioan Harris enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Curtis Millender finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Ioan Harris 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.