Curtis Millender vs Joey Hart
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-13-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Curtis MillenderJoey Hart
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Millender57%
Joey Hart 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Millender a 57% favorite over Joey Hart in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.
Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joey Hart enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Curtis Millender finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Joey Hart 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.