Curtis Millender vs Max Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-13-0Record20-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
78"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
CSWTeamMMAGOLD Fight Team
What's at stake
Max Griffin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Curtis Millender carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1610
If they lose-10→ 1586
If they win+10→ 1679
If they lose-14→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Curtis MillenderMax Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Griffin71%
Curtis Millender 29%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Griffin a 71% favorite over Curtis Millender in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Max Griffin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1596, a 73-point edge.
Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Curtis Millender finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.
Curtis Millender carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.