Combat Edge Intelligence

Curtis Stout vs Damian Janikowski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-12-1Record11-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach70"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamNemesis

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Curtis StoutNow 1510
If they win+12→ 1522
If they lose-12→ 1498
Damian JanikowskiNow 1521
If they win+15→ 1536
If they lose-17→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.44
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
70%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
29%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
20%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Curtis StoutDamian Janikowski
1500155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (82%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (18%)
1 (9%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Janikowski70%
Curtis Stout 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Janikowski a 70% favorite over Curtis Stout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1510 vs 1521), separated by just 11 points.

Curtis Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Curtis Stout finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Damian Janikowski 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.