Curtis Stout vs Phil Baroni
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-12-1Record16-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Phil Baroni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Curtis Stout carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1523
If they lose-11→ 1499
If they win+11→ 1558
If they lose-13→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Curtis StoutPhil Baroni
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Baroni63%
Curtis Stout 37%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Baroni a 63% favorite over Curtis Stout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Phil Baroni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1547 to 1510, a 37-point edge.
Curtis Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Curtis Stout finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Phil Baroni 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.