Combat Edge Intelligence

Curtis Stout vs Trevor Prangley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-12-1Record34-11-2
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Trevor Prangley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Curtis Stout carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Curtis StoutNow 1510
If they win+18→ 1528
If they lose-6→ 1504
Trevor PrangleyNow 1686
If they win+6→ 1692
If they lose-18→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.44
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
70%
Strike accuracy
59%
5.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
29%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
4.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
64%
20%
Takedown defense
74%
0
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Curtis StoutTrevor Prangley
1500155016001650170020052006200720082009201020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

9 (82%)
KO/TKO
9 (26%)
1 (9%)
Submission
13 (38%)
1 (9%)
Decision
12 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Prangley78%
Curtis Stout 22%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Prangley a 78% favorite over Curtis Stout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Trevor Prangley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1510, a 176-point edge.

Curtis Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Curtis Stout finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Prangley 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.