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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cyrille Diabate vs Nell Ariano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-10-1Record6-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cyrille DiabateNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
Nell ArianoNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
72%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
61%
Strike defense
Not available
1.17
Takedown avg.
Not available
83%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
53%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.23
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cyrille DiabateNell Ariano
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
6 (32%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (26%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Nell Ariano67%
Cyrille Diabate 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nell Ariano a 67% favorite over Cyrille Diabate in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cyrille Diabate's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1606), separated by just 0 points.

Cyrille Diabate enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cyrille Diabate finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Nell Ariano 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.