Combat Edge Intelligence

César Almeida vs Lewis Gonzalez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight174 lbs
Lotus MMATeamMMAGOLD Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

César AlmeidaNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Lewis GonzalezNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.46
Sig. strikes / min
1.40
59%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.87
46%
Strike defense
42%
0
Takedown avg.
2
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
52%
Takedown defense
63%
0.21
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

César AlmeidaLewis Gonzalez
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (50%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

César Almeida72%
Lewis Gonzalez 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes César Almeida a 72% favorite over Lewis Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1626), separated by just 2 points.

César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Lewis Gonzalez 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.