César Almeida vs Scott Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record18-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Lotus MMATeamCapital City Fighting Alliance
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
César AlmeidaScott Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
César Almeida72%
Scott Smith 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes César Almeida a 72% favorite over Scott Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott Smith's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.
César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Scott Smith 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.