Da'Mon Blackshear vs Mateus Soares
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Da'Mon Blackshear62%
Mateus Soares 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Da'Mon Blackshear a 62% favorite over Mateus Soares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1687), separated by just 1 points.
Mateus Soares enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Da'Mon Blackshear finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Mateus Soares 92%.
Da'Mon Blackshear carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
17-8-1Record12-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'5"
72"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamRefit Pro Fighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Da'Mon BlackshearMateus Soares