Da Woon Jung vs Sam Alvey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-1Record34-18-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
78″Reach75"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Korean Top Team· 1637 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Da Woon Jung is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sam Alvey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1672
If they lose-17→ 1640
If they win+13→ 1652
If they lose-11→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Da Woon JungSam Alvey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Da Woon Jung70%
Sam Alvey 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Da Woon Jung a 70% favorite over Sam Alvey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Da Woon Jung holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1639, a 18-point edge.
Da Woon Jung enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Da Woon Jung finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Sam Alvey 68%.
Da Woon Jung carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.