Dayane Cardoso vs Mariya Agapova
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-1Record10-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
TBDReach68"
120 lbsWeight125 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1609 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMMA Science Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dayane CardosoMariya Agapova
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mariya Agapova68%
Dayane Cardoso 32%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mariya Agapova a 68% favorite over Dayane Cardoso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dayane Cardoso's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1613), separated by just 6 points.
Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dayane Cardoso finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mariya Agapova 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.