Combat Edge Intelligence

Daichi Abe vs Luke Jumeau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luke Jumeau
nz

Luke Jumeau

“The Jedi”

13-5-0WelterweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
42,0"Reach40.50
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
FreelanceTeamPhuket Top Team

What's at stake

Daichi Abe is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Luke Jumeau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daichi AbeNow 1568
If they win+15→ 1583
If they lose-17→ 1551
Luke JumeauNow 1537
If they win+26→ 1563
If they lose-22→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.80
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
34%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.17
57%
Strike defense
58%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0.25
50%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
87%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daichi AbeLuke Jumeau
1500155016002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (31%)
5 (38%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Daichi Abe53%
Luke Jumeau 47%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Daichi Abe a 53% favorite over Luke Jumeau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Daichi Abe holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1568 to 1537, a 31-point edge.

Daichi Abe finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Luke Jumeau 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.