Combat Edge Intelligence

Daijiro Matsui vs David Allen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-31-7Record2-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
FreelanceTeamRoker Rough House MMA

What's at stake

David Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Daijiro Matsui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daijiro MatsuiNow 1424
If they win+14→ 1438
If they lose-10→ 1414
David AllenNow 1469
If they win+21→ 1490
If they lose-27→ 1442

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daijiro MatsuiDavid Allen
1450150020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (71%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen84%
Daijiro Matsui 16%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 84% favorite over Daijiro Matsui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

David Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1424, a 45-point edge.

Daijiro Matsui enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daijiro Matsui finishes 29% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.