Daisuke Okumiya vs Jonny Carson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-1Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
161 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA Rangers GymTeamSkrap Pack
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1540
If they lose-24→ 1492
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daisuke OkumiyaJonny Carson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daisuke Okumiya55%
Jonny Carson 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daisuke Okumiya a 55% favorite over Jonny Carson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonny Carson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1517), separated by just 1 points.
Jonny Carson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daisuke Okumiya finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jonny Carson 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.