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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daisuke Okumiya vs Ryota Oki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryota Oki
jp

Ryota Oki

“Big Baby”

6-5-0LightweightRFF

1495Average

Tale of the tape

9-5-1Record6-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
161 lbsWeight156 lbs

What's at stake

Daisuke Okumiya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Ryota Oki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daisuke OkumiyaNow 1549
If they win+20→ 1569
If they lose-28→ 1521
Ryota OkiNow 1495
If they win+18→ 1513
If they lose-14→ 1481

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Daisuke OkumiyaRyota Oki
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
1 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (44%)
Decision
5 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryota Oki58%
Daisuke Okumiya 42%Elo baseline: 42%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryota Oki a 58% favorite over Daisuke Okumiya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daisuke Okumiya's way (42%).

Daisuke Okumiya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1549 to 1495, a 54-point edge.

Daisuke Okumiya finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ryota Oki 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.