Combat Edge Intelligence

Dakota Bush vs Jordan Vucenic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record16-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"Reach73''
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
The Smith PitTeamBlood, Sweat and Tears

What's at stake

Dakota Bush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jordan Vucenic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dakota BushNow 1707
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1690
Jordan VucenicNow 1692
If they win+17→ 1709
If they lose-15→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
2.40
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dakota BushJordan Vucenic
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
6 (35%)
Submission
7 (44%)
8 (47%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Dakota Bush71%
Jordan Vucenic 29%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Bush a 71% favorite over Jordan Vucenic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Dakota Bush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1692, a 15-point edge.

Dakota Bush enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Jordan Vucenic enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dakota Bush finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Vucenic 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.