Combat Edge Intelligence

Dakota Bush vs Mateusz Legierski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
The Smith PitTeamOctagon Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dakota BushNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Mateusz LegierskiNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
2.40
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dakota BushMateusz Legierski
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
6 (38%)
Submission
4 (29%)
7 (44%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dakota Bush and Mateusz Legierski within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1696), separated by just 2 points.

Dakota Bush enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Mateusz Legierski enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dakota Bush finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Legierski 57%.

Dakota Bush carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.