Dakota Bush vs Morquez Forest
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Dakota Bush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Morquez Forest carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-20→ 1688
If they win+20→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dakota BushMorquez Forest
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dakota Bush75%
Morquez Forest 25%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Bush a 75% favorite over Morquez Forest in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Dakota Bush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1624, a 84-point edge.
Dakota Bush enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Dakota Bush finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Morquez Forest 63%.
Dakota Bush and Morquez Forest share 1 common opponent: Robert Watley.
Dakota Bush carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.