Dakota Ditcheva vs Denise Kielholtz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters → 
Tale of the tape
15-0-0 Record 9-5-0
Flyweight Division Flyweight
5'8" Height 5'3"
70" Reach 66"
125 lbs Weight 124 lbs
American Top Team Team Sports Academy Schreiber
What's at stake
Dakota Ditcheva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Denise Kielholtz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1769
If they lose-24→ 1737
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-8→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dakota Ditcheva Denise Kielholtz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dakota Ditcheva92%
Denise Kielholtz8%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Ditcheva a 92% favorite over Denise Kielholtz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Dakota Ditcheva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1572, a 189-point edge.
Dakota Ditcheva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Denise Kielholtz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Dakota Ditcheva finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Denise Kielholtz 56%.
Dakota Ditcheva and Denise Kielholtz share 1 common opponent: Sumiko Inaba.
Dakota Ditcheva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.