Dakota Ditcheva vs Denise Kielholtz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-0-0Record9-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'3"
70"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight124 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSports Academy Schreiber
What's at stake
Dakota Ditcheva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Denise Kielholtz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1776
If they lose-24→ 1744
If they win+24→ 1587
If they lose-8→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dakota DitchevaDenise Kielholtz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dakota Ditcheva92%
Denise Kielholtz 8%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Ditcheva a 92% favorite over Denise Kielholtz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Dakota Ditcheva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1563, a 205-point edge.
Dakota Ditcheva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Dakota Ditcheva finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Denise Kielholtz 56%.
Dakota Ditcheva and Denise Kielholtz share 1 common opponent: Sumiko Inaba.
Dakota Ditcheva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.