Combat Edge Intelligence

Dakota Ditcheva vs Natália Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-0-0Record20-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Borracha

What's at stake

Dakota Ditcheva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Natália Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dakota DitchevaNow 1761
If they win+15→ 1776
If they lose-17→ 1744
Natália SilvaNow 1746
If they win+17→ 1763
If they lose-15→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.46
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.34
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
92%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dakota DitchevaNatália Silva
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (80%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
1 (7%)
Submission
7 (37%)
2 (13%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dakota Ditcheva and Natália Silva within a point of even.

Dakota Ditcheva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1746, a 15-point edge.

Dakota Ditcheva enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Natália Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Dakota Ditcheva finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Natália Silva 63%.

Dakota Ditcheva carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.