Dakota Hope vs Renan Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record14-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight154 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1608 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamTropa Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dakota HopeRenan Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dakota Hope55%
Renan Oliveira 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Hope a 55% favorite over Renan Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1665), separated by just 0 points.
Renan Oliveira enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Dakota Hope finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Renan Oliveira 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.