Combat Edge Intelligence

Dalcha Lungiambula vs Dequan Townsend

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record26-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
76"Reach79,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Dragon PowerTeamMurcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Dequan Townsend is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dalcha Lungiambula carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dalcha LungiambulaNow 1604
If they win+17→ 1621
If they lose-15→ 1589
Dequan TownsendNow 1619
If they win+11→ 1630
If they lose-13→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
1.23
45%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
53%
Strike defense
39%
2.14
Takedown avg.
0
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dalcha LungiambulaDequan Townsend
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
14 (54%)
1 (9%)
Submission
5 (19%)
5 (45%)
Decision
7 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Dalcha Lungiambula56%
Dequan Townsend 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Dalcha Lungiambula a 56% favorite over Dequan Townsend in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dequan Townsend's way (48%).

Dequan Townsend holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1604, a 15-point edge.

Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dalcha Lungiambula finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Dequan Townsend 73%.

Dequan Townsend carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.