Combat Edge Intelligence

Dalcha Lungiambula vs Felipe Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record4-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
76"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Dragon PowerTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dalcha LungiambulaNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Felipe RosaNow 1608
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
2.14
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dalcha LungiambulaFelipe Rosa
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Rosa63%
Dalcha Lungiambula 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Rosa a 63% favorite over Dalcha Lungiambula in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1608), separated by just 4 points.

Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Felipe Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Dalcha Lungiambula finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Rosa 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.