Combat Edge Intelligence

Dalcha Lungiambula vs Marc-André Barriault

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
76"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Dragon PowerTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Marc-André Barriault is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dalcha Lungiambula carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dalcha LungiambulaNow 1603
If they win+18→ 1621
If they lose-14→ 1589
Marc-André BarriaultNow 1638
If they win+11→ 1649
If they lose-13→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
5.65
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.94
53%
Strike defense
49%
2.14
Takedown avg.
0.34
45%
Takedown accuracy
7%
78%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Dalcha LungiambulaMarc-André Barriault
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (45%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc-André Barriault70%
Dalcha Lungiambula 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc-André Barriault a 70% favorite over Dalcha Lungiambula in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Marc-André Barriault holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1603, a 35-point edge.

Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dalcha Lungiambula finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Marc-André Barriault 71%.

Dalcha Lungiambula carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.