Combat Edge Intelligence

Dale Hartt vs Nathan Trepagnier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Team SityodtongTeamAcademy of Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dale HarttNow 1505
If they win+24→ 1529
If they lose-24→ 1481
Nathan TrepagnierNow 1505
If they win+16→ 1521
If they lose-16→ 1489

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.14
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
66%
Strike defense
TBD
1.22
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.45
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dale HarttNathan Trepagnier
150015501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Trepagnier61%
Dale Hartt 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Trepagnier a 61% favorite over Dale Hartt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dale Hartt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1505), separated by just 0 points.

Dale Hartt enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dale Hartt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Trepagnier 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.