Combat Edge Intelligence

Dale Hartt vs Shannon Gugerty

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team SityodtongTeamVictory MMA

What's at stake

Shannon Gugerty is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dale Hartt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dale HarttNow 1505
If they win+26→ 1531
If they lose-22→ 1483
Shannon GugertyNow 1535
If they win+15→ 1550
If they lose-17→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.14
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
35%
Strike accuracy
39%
1.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.88
66%
Strike defense
58%
1.22
Takedown avg.
2.13
100%
Takedown accuracy
28%
25%
Takedown defense
50%
2.45
Submission avg.
3.41

Trajectory

Dale HarttShannon Gugerty
1500155016002009201020112012

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
2 (33%)
Submission
11 (73%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Shannon Gugerty60%
Dale Hartt 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Shannon Gugerty a 60% favorite over Dale Hartt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Shannon Gugerty holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1535 to 1505, a 30-point edge.

Dale Hartt enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dale Hartt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shannon Gugerty 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.