Dalton Rosta vs Doug Marshall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record18-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamElite Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dalton RostaDoug Marshall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dalton Rosta60%
Doug Marshall 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dalton Rosta a 60% favorite over Doug Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.
Dalton Rosta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Doug Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Doug Marshall 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.