Dalton Rosta vs Falaniko Vitale
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record30-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeam808 Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dalton RostaFalaniko Vitale
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dalton Rosta62%
Falaniko Vitale 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dalton Rosta a 62% favorite over Falaniko Vitale in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Falaniko Vitale's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1660), separated by just 2 points.
Dalton Rosta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Falaniko Vitale 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.