Combat Edge Intelligence

Dalton Rosta vs Magnus Cedenblad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75"Reach79,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dalton RostaNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Magnus CedenbladNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.87
TBD
Takedown accuracy
64%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Dalton RostaMagnus Cedenblad
16501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (9%)
Submission
5 (36%)
6 (55%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Dalton Rosta60%
Magnus Cedenblad 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Dalton Rosta a 60% favorite over Magnus Cedenblad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1654), separated by just 4 points.

Dalton Rosta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Magnus Cedenblad 86%.

Magnus Cedenblad carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.