Dalton Rosta vs Martin Kozák
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record7-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
75"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMattix MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+24→ 1687
If they lose-24→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dalton RostaMartin Kozák
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dalton Rosta65%
Martin Kozák 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dalton Rosta a 65% favorite over Martin Kozák in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.
Dalton Rosta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Martin Kozák enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Martin Kozák 100%.
Dalton Rosta carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.