Dalton Rosta vs Matej Penaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
American Top TeamTeamReinders MMA· 1602 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dalton RostaMatej Penaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dalton Rosta63%
Matej Penaz 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dalton Rosta a 63% favorite over Matej Penaz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1656), separated by just 2 points.
Dalton Rosta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matej Penaz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Matej Penaz 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.