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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dalton Rosta vs Rodolfo Vieira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rodolfo Vieira
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Rodolfo Vieira

“The Black Belt Hunter”

12-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1664Good

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record12-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1623 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dalton RostaNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Rodolfo VieiraNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.43
Not available
Strike accuracy
54%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.28
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.87
Not available
Takedown accuracy
3%
Not available
Takedown defense
60%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.91

Trajectory

Dalton RostaRodolfo Vieira
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
1 (9%)
Submission
9 (75%)
6 (55%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodolfo Vieira53%
Dalton Rosta 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Vieira a 53% favorite over Dalton Rosta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dalton Rosta's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.

Dalton Rosta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Vieira 83%.

Dalton Rosta carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.