Combat Edge Intelligence

DaMarques Johnson vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-15-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

DaMarques JohnsonNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
38%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
51%
Strike defense
56%
1.18
Takedown avg.
0.97
56%
Takedown accuracy
17%
19%
Takedown defense
57%
0.71
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

DaMarques JohnsonDavid Zawada
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
6 (40%)
Submission
5 (25%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada66%
DaMarques Johnson 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 66% favorite over DaMarques Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans DaMarques Johnson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1560), separated by just 2 points.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

DaMarques Johnson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.