Combat Edge Intelligence

DaMarques Johnson vs Edgar Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-15-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach39,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamArizona Athletic Club

What's at stake

Edgar Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — DaMarques Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

DaMarques JohnsonNow 1562
If they win+18→ 1580
If they lose-14→ 1548
Edgar GarciaNow 1598
If they win+14→ 1612
If they lose-18→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
3.16
38%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
51%
Strike defense
60%
1.18
Takedown avg.
2.21
56%
Takedown accuracy
57%
19%
Takedown defense
50%
0.71
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

DaMarques JohnsonEdgar Garcia
15501600165020122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
6 (40%)
Submission
4 (29%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Edgar Garcia64%
DaMarques Johnson 36%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Garcia a 64% favorite over DaMarques Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Edgar Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1562, a 36-point edge.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Edgar Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

DaMarques Johnson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Garcia 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.