DaMarques Johnson vs James Wilks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-15-0Record7-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamLightning MMA
What's at stake
DaMarques Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — James Wilks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1576
If they lose-18→ 1544
If they win+18→ 1539
If they lose-14→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
DaMarques JohnsonJames Wilks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
DaMarques Johnson60%
James Wilks 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes DaMarques Johnson a 60% favorite over James Wilks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
DaMarques Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1562 to 1521, a 41-point edge.
DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
DaMarques Johnson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, James Wilks 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.