Combat Edge Intelligence

DaMarques Johnson vs John Maguire

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-15-0Record26-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamTsunami Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

DaMarques JohnsonNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
John MaguireNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
51%
Strike defense
65%
1.18
Takedown avg.
2.80
56%
Takedown accuracy
46%
19%
Takedown defense
78%
0.71
Submission avg.
1.08

Trajectory

DaMarques JohnsonJohn Maguire
15501600165020122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
3 (12%)
6 (40%)
Submission
16 (62%)
2 (13%)
Decision
7 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

DaMarques Johnson53%
John Maguire 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes DaMarques Johnson a 53% favorite over John Maguire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1559), separated by just 3 points.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

John Maguire enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

DaMarques Johnson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, John Maguire 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.