DaMarques Johnson vs Matthew Riddle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Matthew Riddle
Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Matthew Riddle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — DaMarques Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Riddle a 52% favorite over DaMarques Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Matthew Riddle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1562, a 21-point edge.
DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.
DaMarques Johnson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance.
DaMarques Johnson and Matthew Riddle share 1 common opponent: John Maguire.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.