Combat Edge Intelligence

DaMarques Johnson vs Matthew Riddle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-15-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionTBD
6'0"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeightTBD
Elite PerformanceTeamTBD

What's at stake

Matthew Riddle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — DaMarques Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

DaMarques JohnsonNow 1562
If they win+17→ 1579
If they lose-15→ 1547
Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+23→ 1606
If they lose-25→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.74
51%
Strike defense
55%
1.18
Takedown avg.
3.51
56%
Takedown accuracy
50%
19%
Takedown defense
89%
0.71
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

DaMarques JohnsonMatthew Riddle
1550160016502011201220132014

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew Riddle52%
DaMarques Johnson 48%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Riddle a 52% favorite over DaMarques Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Matthew Riddle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1562, a 21-point edge.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

DaMarques Johnson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance.

DaMarques Johnson and Matthew Riddle share 1 common opponent: John Maguire.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2012
John Maguire
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2012