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Combat Edge Intelligence

DaMarques Johnson vs Mike Guymon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Guymon
us

Mike Guymon

“The Joker”

15-6-1LightweightBFC

1527Average

Tale of the tape

15-15-0Record15-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamJoker's MMA

What's at stake

DaMarques Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mike Guymon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

DaMarques JohnsonNow 1562
If they win+14→ 1576
If they lose-18→ 1544
Mike GuymonNow 1527
If they win+18→ 1545
If they lose-14→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
2.75
38%
Strike accuracy
65%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.79
51%
Strike defense
66%
1.18
Takedown avg.
1.87
56%
Takedown accuracy
38%
19%
Takedown defense
55%
0.71
Submission avg.
1.25

Trajectory

DaMarques JohnsonMike Guymon
155016001650200920102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
6 (40%)
Submission
5 (33%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

DaMarques Johnson59%
Mike Guymon 41%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes DaMarques Johnson a 59% favorite over Mike Guymon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

DaMarques Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1562 to 1527, a 35-point edge.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mike Guymon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

DaMarques Johnson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Mike Guymon 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.