Combat Edge Intelligence

DaMarques Johnson vs Mike Swick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Swick
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Mike Swick

“Quick”

15-6-0WelterweightUFC

1698Good

Tale of the tape

15-15-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

Mike Swick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — DaMarques Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

DaMarques JohnsonNow 1562
If they win+22→ 1584
If they lose-10→ 1552
Mike SwickNow 1698
If they win+10→ 1708
If they lose-22→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.11
Sig. strikes / min
2.36
38%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.29
51%
Strike defense
54%
1.18
Takedown avg.
1.06
56%
Takedown accuracy
50%
19%
Takedown defense
62%
0.71
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

DaMarques JohnsonMike Swick
155016001650170017502012201320142015

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
6 (40%)
Submission
3 (20%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Swick75%
DaMarques Johnson 25%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Swick a 75% favorite over DaMarques Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Mike Swick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1562, a 136-point edge.

DaMarques Johnson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

DaMarques Johnson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.