Damian Grabowski vs Renan Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'8"
41,0"Reach85"
261 lbsWeight264 lbs
Lutadores OpoleTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damian GrabowskiRenan Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renan Ferreira67%
Damian Grabowski 33%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 67% favorite over Damian Grabowski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damian Grabowski's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1673), separated by just 10 points.
Damian Grabowski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Damian Grabowski finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.