Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Janikowski vs Jorge Chacon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record0-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
NemesisTeam

What's at stake

Damian Janikowski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jorge Chacon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damian JanikowskiNow 1521
If they win+15→ 1536
If they lose-17→ 1504
Jorge ChaconNow 1500
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Damian Janikowski and Jorge Chacon within a point of even.

Damian Janikowski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1500, a 21-point edge.

Damian Janikowski finishes 64% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.