Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Janikowski vs Lumumba Sayers

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record6-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
NemesisTeamGrapplers Edge

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damian JanikowskiNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
Lumumba SayersNow 1515
If they win+16→ 1531
If they lose-16→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Damian JanikowskiLumumba Sayers
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
2 (18%)
Submission
5 (83%)
4 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Janikowski70%
Lumumba Sayers 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Janikowski a 70% favorite over Lumumba Sayers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1515), separated by just 6 points.

Lumumba Sayers enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Damian Janikowski finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Lumumba Sayers 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.