Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Janikowski vs Marek Bartl

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record17-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70"Reach-
185 lbsWeight179 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damian JanikowskiNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
Marek BartlNow 1527
If they win+12→ 1539
If they lose-12→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Damian JanikowskiMarek Bartl
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
2 (18%)
Submission
6 (35%)
4 (36%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Damian Janikowski and Marek Bartl within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1527), separated by just 6 points.

Damian Janikowski finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Marek Bartl 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.